You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login

Reply #139: I have... I'll post the link again... [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
WI Independent Donating Member (156 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-23-05 06:23 AM
Response to Reply #119
139. I have... I'll post the link again...
Exit Poll FAQ
"How are projections made?
Projections are based on models that use votes from three (3) different sources -- exit poll interviews with voters, vote returns as reported by election officials from the sample precincts, and tabulations of votes by county. The models make estimates from all these vote reports. The models also indicate the likely error in the estimates. The best model estimate may be used to make a projection if it passes a series of tests."

Note: THREE sources... the exit poll interviews are only ONE... incomplete.

The MoE given by NEP is for the completed poll, which says Bush won. Standard Moe calculations are for statistically random samples, which the exit poll interviews were not.

The definition of a good design is dependent on the objective. Other countries aren't better... they were designing to a different objective. The NEP was hired by the networks to give the talking heads air time filler Tuesday night. They seemed to have met that objective fairly well.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC