Reply #95: internut, thank you for stipulating that, but you misstate as usual

[TruthIsAll]

you say:

No, it could not equal 43% of 122.3m in 2004. But in a poll, the result of "43% of those who were asked said they voted for Bush in 2000" is plausible, for reasons that were explained to you a dozen times at least.

You say:
For some reason you keep insisting that if the poll says that 43% of the 2004 voters voted for Bush in 2000, that implies that this actually happened.

I say:
PURE HOGWASH!
IS YOUR BRAIN FUNCTIONING?

I SAID THE 43% WAS IMPOSSIBLE.
AND YOU AGREE.

THAT IS WHAT I SAID.

You say:
As was pointed out to you, that could quite easily be explained by people misreporting their past voting behaviors, like they regularly do in other polls.

I say:
That is totally irrelevant to the discussion.
The point is simply this, and you have answered correctly:
IT IS IMPOSSIBLE THAT 43% OF TOTAL 2004 VOTERS COULD HAVE BEEN BUSH 2000 VOTERS.

AND YOU AGREE.

You say:
Another thing you keep misstating is that the "43%/37% in 2000" was the weight that was applied. That is an invention of yours with no basis in reality. No pollster would ever use that statistic as a weight to adjust other variables, because that statistic cannot be relied upon.

I say:
YOU ARE DELUSIONAL.
WE ARE TALKING ABOUT THE "HOW VOTED IN 2000 DEMOGRAPHIC" IN THE FINAL NATIONAL EXIT POLL.

TAKE A LOOK AT THE FINAL NATIONAL EXIT POLL.
ITS RIGHT THERE FOR ALL THE WORLD TO SEE.
43% IS A WEIGHTING, NUT.
YOU ARE SADLY LACKING IN EVEN RUDIMENTARY KNOWLEDGE OF EXIT POLLING.
DO YOU REALLY EXPECT TO CONVINCE ANYONE THAT YOU KNOW WHAT YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT, WHEN YOU DON'T KNOW WHAT A WEIGHTING FACTOR IS?
THAT IS SO BASIC.

BUT I DIGRESS.

NUT, THEY DID JUST THAT. THEY CHANGED THE WEIGHTINGS FROM FROM 41% AT THE 13047 EXIT POLL TIME LINE TO 43% IN THE FINAL 13660.
ARE YOU AWARE OF THAT?

NEXT QUESTION:
YOU HAVE AGREED 43% IS IMPOSSIBLE.
GOOD (WHEW!)

IF THAT IS THE CASE, THEN IS IT VALID TO USE THE 43/37 WEIGHTINGS AND CORRESPONDING VOTING PERCENTAGES TO DETERMINE THE FINAL BUSH /KERRY NATIONAL PERCENTAGE?

I ASSUME THAT YOU KNOW HOW TO DO THE CALCULATION.

DO YOU?

IF NOT, I WILL GLADLY HELP.

THE BALL IS IN YOUR COURT.
IS THE HEAT GETTING TO YOU YET?

ARE YOU SURE YOU WANT TO CONTINUE?