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Reply #31: The one-to-one comparison of individual precincts [View All]

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Internut Donating Member (436 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-20-05 11:54 PM
Response to Reply #29
31. The one-to-one comparison of individual precincts
Edited on Mon Jun-20-05 11:55 PM by Internut
has been done.

See

This is a scatterplot of WPE (Within-Precinct-Error) on Y axis vs. % of Bush vote in the precinct on the X axis. The WPE means the difference between the exit poll raw data results for the precinct and the official precinct results.

This scatterplot tells me three things:

1. The variance (measure of how "dirty" the data is) is huge.
2. There is really almost as much "Kerry Overestimate" as "Bush Overestimate"
3. Anyone who says that overestimation on one side of the X axis (Bush or Kerry) is the results of fraud has to explain why just as much overestimation exists on the other side of the axis.
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