55. If there was any (net) rBr, it could be caused by aRv, or aIBv.
Edited on Wed Jun-08-05 08:47 PM by kiwi_expat
The second exit poll - showing Kerry and Bush about even - would been Mitofsky's attempt to match the recorded vote as it came in, wouldn't it?
If the difference between the first exit poll and second exit poll was at least partly the result of sampling bias (rBr), that portion of the red shift could have been caused by additional Republican voters or by additional Independent voters who voted for Bush. It would not necessarily mean that Democrats stayed home.
Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators
Important Notices: By participating on this discussion
board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules
page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the
opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent
the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.
Printer-friendly format
Email this thread to a friend
Bookmark this thread
(526 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
