Reply #2: HERE ARE CORRESPONDING TABLES OF BUSH PERCENTAGES

[TruthIsAll]

These are final Bush percentages, assuming he wins the
percentage of refusers (and overcomes the corresponding
astronomical odds) displayed in the original post.

CASE I								
Response rate								
53%			Bush Percent of Refusers					
Refusers		50.0%	51.0%	52.0%	53.0%	54.0%	55.0%
887			444	452	461	470	479	488
Scenario:								
Kerry%	Bush%		Final Bush Percentage					
56%	44%		46.82%	47.29%	47.76%	48.23%	48.70%	49.17%
55%	45%		47.35%	47.82%	48.29%	48.76%	49.23%	49.70%
54%	46%		47.88%	48.35%	48.82%	49.29%	49.76%	50.23%
53%	47%		48.41%	48.88%	49.35%	49.82%	50.29%	50.76%
52%	48%		48.94%	49.41%	49.88%	50.35%	50.82%	51.29%
51%	49%		49.47%	49.94%	50.41%	50.88%	51.35%	51.82%
50%	50%		50.00%	50.47%	50.94%	51.41%	51.88%	52.35%
								


CASE II								
Response rate								
52%			Bush Percent of Refusers					
Refusers		50.0%	51.0%	52.0%	53.0%	54.0%	55.0%
923			462	471	480	489	498	508
Scenario:								
Kerry%	Bush%		Final Bush Percentage					
56%	44%		46.88%	47.36%	47.84%	48.32%	48.80%	49.28%
55%	45%		47.40%	47.88%	48.36%	48.84%	49.32%	49.80%
54%	46%		47.92%	48.40%	48.88%	49.36%	49.84%	50.32%
53%	47%		48.44%	48.92%	49.40%	49.88%	50.36%	50.84%
52%	48%		48.96%	49.44%	49.92%	50.40%	50.88%	51.36%
51%	49%		49.48%	49.96%	50.44%	50.92%	51.40%	51.88%
50%	50%		50.00%	50.48%	50.96%	51.44%	51.92%	52.40%


								
CASE III								
Response rate								
51%			Bush Percent of Refusers					
Refusers		50.0%	51.0%	52.0%	53.0%	54.0%	55.0%
961			480	490	500	509	519	528
Scenario:								
Kerry%	Bush%		Final Bush Percentage					
56%	44%		46.94%	47.43%	47.92%	48.41%	48.90%	49.39%
55%	45%		47.45%	47.94%	48.43%	48.92%	49.41%	49.90%
54%	46%		47.96%	48.45%	48.94%	49.43%	49.92%	50.41%
53%	47%		48.47%	48.96%	49.45%	49.94%	50.43%	50.92%
52%	48%		48.98%	49.47%	49.96%	50.45%	50.94%	51.43%
51%	49%		49.49%	49.98%	50.47%	50.96%	51.45%	51.94%
50%	50%		50.00%	50.49%	50.98%	51.47%	51.96%	52.45%