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Reply #2: According to Febble... [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. According to Febble...
According to Febble:

"If the exit poll discrepancy was due to response bias,
the direction of bias was relative undersampling of Bush
voters. About 46% of all voters approached, both Kerry and
Bush voters, refused to be interviewed.

Of these, E-M calculate that to account for the discrepancy
between the exit poll and the vote count, about 47% of the
refusers would have been Kerry voters and about 53% would
have been Bush refusers. Not a great difference, but enough
to swing the poll. You may not accept this hypothesis, but
this is what the "rBr" hypothesis is. That there
was a slight bias (47%:53%) in the ratio of Kerry
non-responders to Bush non-responders"
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