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Reply #9: I don't see that your linked-post precludes the RBV hypothesis. [View All]

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kiwi_expat Donating Member (526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-10-05 09:27 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. I don't see that your linked-post precludes the RBV hypothesis.
Here is your linked-post:

He had 62.03mm recorded votes to Kerry's 59.03mm
Assuming all 48.69mm previous Bush 2000 voters who were still alive came to vote in 2004, that's 13.34mm additional votes.
Did he get them from Gore?
Did he get them from Nader?
Did he get them from new voters?

Obviously some of Bush's voters came from Gore voters and newly registered voters. Why could the rest not have come from voters that did not vote in 2000 but had voted previously? Your linked-post doesn't say.

I didn't realize we were not supposed to include non-respondents in any hypothesis. I was not referring to the across-the-board rBr hypothesis that has been discussed to death. I was hypothesizing that a certain sub-group of Bush voters - Evangelical Christians who did not usually vote - could be the sort of people who would refuse to be interviewed.

I'm not saying it's true. I'm just saying that maybe it could be, at least partially, true.

I realize now that your question was just rhetorical.

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