Even assuming rBr, it takes a MIRACLE to reverse Kerry's 51-48% margin

[TruthIsAll]

Bush won the popular vote by 62-59 million.

Lets see what had to happen for this to occur, assuming the
rBr hyopthesis. 

We will consider two scenarios, changing National Exit Poll 
A) Party ID weights and 
B) vote percentages 
to see what would be necessary to derive the final Bush
margin.

There are many combinations of alternate scenarios I can run.
I welcome your suggestions.

*****************************************************
National Exit poll
12:22am
13047	respondents
Votes in millions

Kerry won it by 4.5 mm votes (51.4%-47.8%)
				
PARTY ID	Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader	
Democrat 	38%	9%	91%	0%	
Republican 	35%	92%	8%	0%	
Independent	27%	45%	52%	3%	
	       100%	47.77%	51.42%	0.81%	
Votes      122.26	58.40	62.87	0.99	
	
The odds are 1 in  300 million that Bush could go from 47.77%
to his actual 50.73%			
					
************************************************

rBr Scenario A: 
Keep the Party ID weights constant at 38 Dem/35 Rep/37 Ind
In the prior three elections, it was 39/35/26.

Assume Bush wins an IMPOSSIBLE 100% of Republican voters.
And he gets 9.0% of Democratic voters.

That will do it.
He wins by over 3 million votes.					

      Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader	
Dem 	38%	9.0%	91.0%	0.0%	
Rep 	35%	100%	0.0%	0.0%	
Ind	27%	45.0%	52.0%	3.0%	
	100%	50.57%	48.62%	0.81%	
Votes	122.26	61.83	59.44	0.99	
					
*****************************************************								
					
rBr Scenario B: 
Keep the vote percentages constant.
But DRASTICALLY change the Party ID weighting to:
Dem 35%/Rep 39%/ Ind 26%	

That also does it.
				
	Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader	
Dem    35%	9.0%	91.0%	0.0%	
Rep    39%	92.0%	8.0%	0.0%	
Ind	 26%	45.0%	52.0%	3.0%	
	100%	50.73%	48.49%	0.78%	
Votes	122.26	62.02	59.28	0.95