You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

FEBBLE: WILL YOU COMMENT ON THIS MYSTERY? [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-03-05 07:45 PM
Original message
FEBBLE: WILL YOU COMMENT ON THIS MYSTERY?
Advertisements [?]
Edited on Tue May-03-05 08:28 PM by TruthIsAll
In the Final National Exit Poll (13660 respondents, posted at
1:25pm on 11/3/04), the Bush 2000 voter weighting was 43% of
the total 2004 electorate (122.26 million). Gore voters were
37% of the total.

1. How could this weighting have risen to 43% in the Final
13660, with only 613 additional respondents added, from the
13047 respondents at 12:22am when it stood at 41%?

2. How could 43% (52.57) million voters even be possible,
since only 50.456 million voted for Bush in 2000 - and around
1.75 million of them died? That would lower the weighting to
48.7/122.26 = 39.8%, a difference of almost 4 million votes.

3. How do you explain this? Was the 43% a sampled result, or
was it an arbitrary weighting? 

4. How does this jibe with RBR?

5. Finally, how could Kerry be winner by 4.63 million votes
(13047 respondents) at 12:22am and a loser by 3 million
(13660) at 1:25pm? 


National Exit Poll Timeline:
11/2/04, 3:59pm 8349 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 47
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3737_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

11/2/04, 7:33pm 11027 respondents: Kerry 50-Bush 47
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3798_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

11/3/04, 12:22am 13047 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=265121

11/3/04, 1:25pm 13660 respondents: Kerry 48-Bush 51
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3970_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf



NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE				
VOTED IN 2000 FOR				

3:59pm 8349 
		KERRY	BUSH	NADER
No	15%	62%	37%	1%
Gore	39%	91%	8%	0%
Bush	42%	9%	90%	0%
Other	4%	61%	12%	16%
Total	100%	51.01%	46.95%	0.79%
Votes 	122.26	62.36	57.40	0.97
				

7:33pm 11027 				
No	17%	59%	39%	1%
Gore	38%	91%	8%	1%
Bush	41%	9%	90%	0%
Other	3%	65%	13%	16%
Total	100%	50.25%	46.96%	1.03%
Votes 	122.26	61.44	57.41	1.26


12:28am 13047				
No	17%	57%	41%	2%
Gore	39%	91%	8%	1%
Bush	41%	10%	90%	0%
Other	3%	71%	21%	8%
Total	100%	51.41%	47.62%	0.97%
Votes 	122.26	62.85	58.22	1.19

				
1:25pm 13660				
No	17%	54%	45%	1%
Gore	37%	90%	10%	0%
Bush	43%	9%	91%	0%
Other	3%	71%	21%	8%
Total	100%	48.48%	51.11%	0.41%
Votes 	122.26	59.27	62.49	0.50
				
				

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC