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Reply #21: Your responses have me convinced. [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-05 10:26 AM
Response to Reply #18
21. Your responses have me convinced.
Edited on Mon May-02-05 11:04 AM by TruthIsAll
"I give up" is a reply that I have heard often at DU - when the facts of this election stand in sharp relief and cannot be refuted by pure verbiage.

You refuse to acknowledge the FACT that the FINAL 13660 weightings are pure fiction.

Whether the argument is that the MoE is much higher due to cluster; or that the discrepancy always shows a Democratic bias, so 2004 was nothing new; or that the exit polls are not designed to predict the vote; or that Bush voters came out late; or that weather conditions favored the Dems ; or that females voted early for Kerry; or that there was a Bush bandwagon effect; or that the fundies came out in mass; or that 120 million votes are more accurate than 13,000; or that 13,000 is an insufficient sample; or that exit polls are not designed to prevent fraud (as in the Ukraine); or that Bush is a War President; or that Bush voters are reluctant to speak to pollsters - we have heard them all.


Specifically, you do not question the IMPOSSIBILITY of the FINAL 13660 NATIONAL EXIT POLL 43%/37% WEIGHTINGS of How Voted in 2000.

Of course, other demographic weights were changed as well, BECAUSE IF ONE DEMOGRAPHIC SHOWS THAT KERRY WAS A WINNER, THEY ALL WILL.

LIKE PARTY-ID, WHICH MORPHED FROM 38% DEM/ 35% REP TO 37%/37%.

IF THE WEIGHTS WERE NOT ALTERED, THEN THE PERCENTAGES HAD TO BE:
THE GENDER DEMOGRAPHIC WAS CONSTANT AT 54% FEMALE/46% MALE FROM 11027 TO 13660. BUT KERRY'S 54% FEMALE VOTE CHANGED TO 51% FOR THE FINAL 613 RESPONDENTS FROM 13047 TO 13660.

You continue to question the accuracy of the 8349, 11027 and 13047 weightings, which barely changed. Kerry won them all.

You have not said ONE word about that.
To avoid these FACTS is not very scientific.
Why am I not surprised?
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