You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login

Reply #69: In this way [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
mgr Donating Member (616 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-03-05 07:44 PM
Response to Reply #49
69. In this way

Is your estimate of new voters independent of NEP's exit poll? If not, then you have to bracket it by an MOE of 6.5% minimum. Move this downward by the MOE (since this is counter the direction of the bias), and assume static B/G voter support (the active voters from 2000), and the infill between will be casual voters.

The thing that may affect this further, is that a casual voter may intend to have voted in 2000 but did not, but believes that they had. This is how I would characterize the bandwagon effect, though I have issues with this explanation based upon the studies cited that I have reviewed so far.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC