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Reply #40: Generally though [View All]

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davidgmills Donating Member (651 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-05 04:33 PM
Response to Reply #39
40. Generally though
105 Million voted last time and we are pretty sure about 4% died.

120 Million voted this time meaning approx 20 million new voters.

Exit polls say new voters went to Kerry by a substantial margin and Bush and Gore voters stayed about the same so Kerry won unless:

(1)Bush voters who responded in 2000 didn't respond this time,
(2)Gore voters who responded last time and switched didn't respond this time, or
(3)Polls were really wrong about Kerry's margin of victory for new voters because new Bush voters refused to respond.

So which hypothesis is it?
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