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Reply #8: No conclusion; that's for you to draw. Just the facts, which are... [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-30-05 08:58 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. No conclusion; that's for you to draw. Just the facts, which are...
Edited on Sat Apr-30-05 09:19 PM by TruthIsAll
Fact 1:
Kerry won the National Exit Poll with 50.78%, according to the Gender category percentages.

Fact 2:
Many State Exit poll percentages for Kerry, Bush and Nader/Other do not sum horizontally to 100%, as they should (see the table).

Fact 3:
Kerry wins the State Exit Poll Gender demographic with 50.82% when the difference between the total and 100% (0, 1, 2 or 3%) is added to Kerry's state percentages in order to make the sum equal 100%. The state vote/national vote ratio weighting factor is applied to calculate the equivalent state-weighted national percentage.

Fact 4:
There is just a 0,04% difference between the National Exit poll (50.78%) and the State-weighted national poll (50.82%). This would seem to indicate that the national and state exit polls are in complete confirmation with one another.

Fact 5:
The fact that the state percentages, when adjusted in Kerry's favor, resulted in an exact match with the national exit poll may be just a coincidence. Of course, one must first do the math and apply the adjustments before even having a reason to wonder if it was.

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