You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #8: No conclusion; that's for you to draw. Just the facts, which are... [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-30-05 08:58 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. No conclusion; that's for you to draw. Just the facts, which are...
Edited on Sat Apr-30-05 09:19 PM by TruthIsAll
Fact 1:
Kerry won the National Exit Poll with 50.78%, according to the Gender category percentages.

Fact 2:
Many State Exit poll percentages for Kerry, Bush and Nader/Other do not sum horizontally to 100%, as they should (see the table).

Fact 3:
Kerry wins the State Exit Poll Gender demographic with 50.82% when the difference between the total and 100% (0, 1, 2 or 3%) is added to Kerry's state percentages in order to make the sum equal 100%. The state vote/national vote ratio weighting factor is applied to calculate the equivalent state-weighted national percentage.

Fact 4:
There is just a 0,04% difference between the National Exit poll (50.78%) and the State-weighted national poll (50.82%). This would seem to indicate that the national and state exit polls are in complete confirmation with one another.

Fact 5:
The fact that the state percentages, when adjusted in Kerry's favor, resulted in an exact match with the national exit poll may be just a coincidence. Of course, one must first do the math and apply the adjustments before even having a reason to wonder if it was.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC