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Reply #7: Her own words are very relevant...READ THE REPORT [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-27-05 06:35 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Her own words are very relevant...READ THE REPORT
Edited on Wed Apr-27-05 06:36 PM by TruthIsAll
THE CAPS ARE MINE.

Firstly, they indicate that WPE is a CONFOUNDED DEPENDENT measure, at best introducing NOISE into any analysis, but at worst creating artifacts that suggest that bias is concentrated in precincts with particular degrees of partisanship WHERE NO SUCH CONCENTRATION MAY EXIST

In the case of the 2004 exit polls, it would therefore be of interest to know what proportion of total variance in genuine within precinct bias, could be accounted for by the factors postulated in the E-M report, and whether, after thus accounting for known methodological factors, any precincts/states proved to be STATISTICAL OUTLIERS THAT MIGHT INDICATE THE POSSIBLE CONTRIBUTION OF VOTE-COUNT CORRUPTION TO EXIT POLL ERROR"

Mathematically, the observed pattern COULD ARISE FROM WIDESPREAD FRAUD AS WELL AS FROM WIDESPREAD RESPONSE BIAS;; differential SPOILAGE rates for Kerry votes, or BALLOT STUFFING of Bush votes, would produce results INDISTINGUISHABLE from reluctant Bush responders.
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