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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
mgr Donating Member (616 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-27-05 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. Simply
David:

What it says is that NEP is correct in saying bias affected all sampled categories, was not greatest in the precincts with high percentages of republican registration. It contradicts the USCV report's contention regarding the reluctant Bush responder.

What the math shows is that the bias is not symmetrical in its effect, which is the source for the purported USCV error.

The implication for me, is that if one were to remodel the exit polling to attempt to remove the bias, a single correction term is not available, but that one which is dependent upon partisanship might. It's a step toward rehabbing the exit poll to where potentially it may detect voting irregularities.

Mike
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