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Reply #14: What is your guess re. Cincy4M NEP/canvass difference? [View All]

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kiwi_expat Donating Member (526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-26-05 11:05 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. What is your guess re. Cincy4M NEP/canvass difference?
Edited on Tue Apr-26-05 11:22 PM by kiwi_expat
What do you guess happened at Cincy4M?
................ Bush..Kerry %Kerry
Cincy4M vote... 312 211 40%
polling place..... 946 808 46%
NEP Raw............. 10 21 68%
NEP weighted. 14.4 22.6 61%

I certainly hope there was enough fraud to account for the entire raw to polling-place 44% spread. If so, we will surely find it in the recount.

Do you not entertain the possibility that the Cincy4M NEP data is worthless? And, given the weather and distance factors, that much of the Ohio NEP data might be suspect?

My RBR PARTIAL-explanation was based on the Cincy4M observers comments. The observers were not Republicans.

I am still hopeful that we will discover fraud by Ohio recounts. I'm just not confident that the NEP data will point us to it.

I am serious about the Hamilton County "%Bush win" spreadsheet. Could you help us, please?

Cheers.

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