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Reply #7: OK. I'll bite. [View All]

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kiwi_expat Donating Member (526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-26-05 08:38 PM
Response to Original message
7. OK. I'll bite.
There is no way to refute the numbers. There is no way that the sampling errors could be random.

Either there was fraud and/or there really is a Reluctant Bush Responder phenomenon. My guess is that both are true, at least in states like Ohio, where the weather was atrocious and there was a 100ft. limit imposed on the NEP interviewers for at least part of the day.

The Cincinnati 4-M observers said that a lot of "repub types" ignored the NEP interviewer. I can easily imagine Republican businessmen ignoring what looks like a campaigner (hard to read the NEP badge after 4pm) who is standing with actual campaigners, in the pouring rain. I think the repub businessman would be focused on getting home to the nice dinner prepared by the little lady.

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