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Reply #4: Please answer a stupid question one more time for me [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform

Nothing Without Hope

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Apr-19-05 02:13 AM
Response to Original message

4. Please answer a stupid question one more time for me

Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 02:42 AM by Nothing Without Hope

The last two time points are:

11/3/04, 12:22am 13047 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
The margin of error for 13047 =0.88%

11/3/04, 1:25pm 13660 respondents: Kerry 48-Bush 51
The margin of error for 13660 = ?

Does this mean that 613 votes were added to 13047 votes and suddenly the numbers flipped from 51/48 for Kerry to 51/48 for Bush? A 3% margin in 13660 votes is 410 votes (the number is iffy because of rounding).

On recalculation, I think I got this far OK, but then I made a mistake. The repost took it farther and I hope it's correct. My math skills this late at night are just not functioning very well.

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