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Reply #20: UPDATE: Touchscreen/Optiscan% used as weights, compared to 13047 Exit [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-21-05 07:10 AM
Response to Reply #1
20. UPDATE: Touchscreen/Optiscan% used as weights, compared to 13047 Exit
Edited on Thu Apr-21-05 07:15 AM by TruthIsAll
The Touchscreens were right on target, and agreed with the
13047 Exit Poll respondents to within 0.43% for Bush (17,000
votes) and 0.31% for Kerry (12,000 votes).

The Optiscans deviated from the Bush exit poll by 8.99%
(307,000 votes). They deviated from the Kerry exit poll by
8.12% (278,000 votes)



Type	Reg	DemR	RepR	DiffR	Votes	DemV%	RepV%	DemV	RepV
T/S	5.576	40.89%	36.77%	4.12%	3.864	51.30%	47.77%	1.982	1.846
OptS	4.725	41.92%	38.98%	2.94%	3.420	42.27%	57.03%	1.446	1.950
Total	10.301	41.37%	37.79%	3.58%	7.284	47.06%	52.12%	3.428	3.796



13047	Touchscreen	3.864	votes			OPTISCAN	3.420	votes	
PARTY ID	
       Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader		Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader
Dem	40.89%	9%	90%	1%	Dem	41.92%	9%	90%	1%
Rep	36.77%	92%	7%	1%	Rep	38.98%	92%	7%	1%
Ind	22.33%	44%	52%	4%	Ind	19.10%	44%	52%	4%
									
Pct	100%	47.34%	50.99%	1.67%	Pct	100%	48.04%	50.39%	1.57%

Vote	3.864	1.829	1.970	0.065	Vote	3.420	1.643	1.723	0.054
Act%	100%	47.77%	51.30%	0.925%	Act%	100%	57.03%	42.27%	0.70%

Act	3.864	1.846	1.982	0.036	Act	3.420	1.950	1.446	2.40%

Diff	       0.017	0.012	-0.029		Diff  0.307	-0.278	-0.030
	       0.43%	0.31%	-0.74%		       8.99%	-8.12%	-0.87%
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