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Reply #24: raw data is not time stamped; impossible to tell which responses were last [View All]

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dzika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-14-05 02:41 PM
Response to Reply #22
24. raw data is not time stamped; impossible to tell which responses were last
The individual response data released by NEP doesn't provide for a way to determine which records were added to the poll last. The last 660 or whatever physical number of responses that correspond to the final 660 can't be determined based on the data released from NEP.

What is throwing off the final poll? Is it the final 660? You can see from the tables that I posted above that the weights are almost insignificant. In fact, in NEP's final set of raw data, Bush wins even when no weighting is applied to the sample.

I thought that you had determined earlier that the 660 final samples could not account for the difference between the final poll and the 12:21am poll.

I'm trying to understand the physical evidence here and I can't dream up a satisfactory explanation for how we got from the 12:21am poll to the final regardless of the 660 final samples.

Are the final 660 records in the raw data fabricated?
Were some of the 13047 records altered after 12:21am?

IF the final set of raw records match the final exit poll (and I think that they do)
AND if your calculations show that the final poll has impossible totals based on the 2000 vote
AND if the final 660 samples and weighting alone can't explain the difference between the 12:21am and final poll
THEN didn't there have to be changes to some of the 13047 raw samples
AND doesn't this suggest that the NEP has perpetrated a hoax beyond simply weighting the vote totals to match the vote count?

I know, it's a long question but it's also a complicated problem.

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