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Reply #113: Multiple-precinct polling places (for ***NEP precincts): Kerry% [View All]

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kiwi_expat Donating Member (526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-21-05 06:19 AM
Response to Reply #110
113. Multiple-precinct polling places (for ***NEP precincts): Kerry%
If a NEP interviewer is sampling all of the precincts at a polling location (which appears to be the case), there is actually an opportunity for serious sampling error.

The following Kerry%s show that some precincts can vary significantly at a polling location. Cincy4M's polling place is a good example.
(Thanks for the multi-precinct Bush-Kerry numbers, Liam.)

2004 HAMILTON COUNTY OHIO CANVASS
___________________________________

Precinct Bush Kerry Kerry%

CINCINNATI 4-M 312 211 40% ***
CINCINNATI 4-B 190 180 49%
CINCINNATI 4-I 207 199 49%
CINCINNATI 4-O 237 218 47%
946 808 46%

ANDERSON JJ 344 131 28% ***
ANDERSON QQ 459 132 22%
ANDERSON VV 347 106 23%
ANDERSON DDD 184 59 24%
1,334 428 24%

SHARONVILLE 4-C 321 150 32% ***
SHARONVILLE 3-B 382 198 34%
SHARONVILLE 3-C 271 117 30%
SHARONVILLE 4-A 480 188 28%
1,454 653 30%

EVENDALE D 235 89 27% ***
EVENDALE A 330 201 38%
EVENDALE B 339 178 34%
EVENDALE C 312 110 26%
EVENDALE E 116 91 44%
1,332 669 33%

CINCINNATI 22-E 65 373 85% ***
CINCINNATI 22-A 94 352 79%
159 725 82%

HARRISON C 209 108 34% ***
HARRISON E 217 69 24%
426 177 29%

FAIRFAX B 279 169 38% ***
FAIRFAX A 277 153 35%
556 322 37%




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