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View the Mathematical FACTS for the TRUTH... [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 10:30 AM
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View the Mathematical FACTS for the TRUTH...
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Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 10:38 AM by TruthIsAll
These are the FACTS:

V2004 122.26 million voted in 2004

V2000 104.77 voted in 2000
G2000 50.999 voted for Gore
B2000 50.456 voted for Bush
O2000 3.315 voted for Other
D 3.667 died (8.7 per thousand annual death rate)

So there were
NetN 17.490 New voters, net of deaths

Since
GD 1.785 Gore voters died
BD 1.766 Bush voters died
OD 0.116 Other voters died

then there were
TN 21.157 New voters

And we must have
MG 49.214 Maximum no. Gore 2000 voters
MB 48.690 Max no. Bush 2000 voters
MO 3.199 Max no. Other 2000 voters
MT 101.103 Max Total no. returning voters

MinNew 21.157 Min number of New voters

Assume the ABSOLUTE MINIMUM OF 21.157 million New Voters:

The total 2004 vote was comprised of:
V2004 = 122.26 = MB + MG+ MO + MinNew

KV= Kerry Vote = MG + Kerry % of New Voters
BV= Bush Vote = MB + Bush % of New Voters

and
KV = 49.214+ .54* 21.157 =60.639
BV = 48.690+ .45* 21.157 =58.211

So, according to the Bush-favored Final Exit poll, in which Kerry won 54% of New Voters, Kerry won the election by 2.428 million votes.

This is a MINIMUM MARGIN, because the earlier, believable exit polls gave him 57%-59% of New Voters.

This analysis assumes all Bush 2000 voters voted for Bush and all Gore 2000 voters voted for Kerry. It is a very conservative assumption, since much of the evidence had former Bush 2000 voters going for Kerry this time, not the other way around...





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