Reply #7: To believe the Final Exit Poll, Bush must have had 4.5 mm more 2000 votes.

[TruthIsAll]

Asssume the FEP is correct: 43% of Bush 2000 voters voted in 2004.
That's 43% of 122.26 million or 52.57 million.

Doing the math, we have:
1) 52.57 million Bush 2000 voters returned to vote in 2004.
2) But about 1.84 million (3.5%) of Bush 2000 voters died.
3) And assume 0.50 million (1%) of Bush 2000 voters did not vote in 2004 for any number of reasons.

Then summing up:
54.91 million must have voted for Bush in 2000.
But his actual 2000 vote was only 50.45 million, 4.46 million fewer (8.84%).

The Exit Poll Margin of Error is 1.0%

I won't bother to calculate the odds.