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Reply #58: Location of exit polls [View All]

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meatsack Donating Member (19 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-23-05 09:37 AM
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58. Location of exit polls
Allow me to play Devil's Advocate here:
Weren't most of the exit polls conducted in heavily contested areas. Areas which would have had a greater "Get out the Vote" campaigns by both sides over the last 2 Federal Elections; and therefore a higher than average turnout?

This would mean a greater number of voters compared to polling stations that did not have as good a turnout.
So yes, the numbers don't add up, but the error could easily be the pollsters fault for not taking into account 'slower'& 'average' polling stations and creating an average only from the busiest stations.

Not saying you're wrong, just something that has to be looked into before this goes further. It definitely is evidence that something is wrong, I just think it's more likely to be a pollsters error.
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