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Reply #14: CONTINUED... [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-21-05 08:10 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. CONTINUED...
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 09:00 PM by TruthIsAll
If you believe the final exit poll 43% demographic, then you
must also believe that 52.57 million voted for Bush. We have
just shown that this is TOO HIGH BY 3.9 MILLION = 52.6 - 48.7
AT MINIMUM - AND PROBABLY 2-3 MILLION MORE WHEN YOU CONSIDER
THE OTHER THREE POSSIBILITIES. 

THEREFORE, IT MAY VERY WELL BE THAT BUSH'S VOTE WAS 6 MILLION
TOO HIGH. REMEMBER, KERRY WON THE 13047 EXIT POLL BY 51-48%
AND EVEN IN THIS PRELIMINARY POLL BUSH GOT 41%, WHICH WE HAVE
JUST SHOWN TO BE TOO HIGH AS WELL. 

USING THE PRELIMINARY EXIT POLL WEIGHTS, IF 39% OF 2004 VOTERS
VOTED FOR BUSH IN 2000 AND 40% VOTED FOR GORE,
THEN KERRY WON BY 52.2% TO 45.8%, 
OR 63.4-56 MILLION.

USING THE IMPOSSIBLE FINAL EXIT POLL WEIGHTS, WITH 43% OF 2004
VOTERS VOTED FOR BUSH IN 2000 AND 37% FOR GORE, THEN BUSH WON
BY:  51.1%-48.8%, 
OR 62.5-59 MILLION.

THE ACTUAL RECORDED VOTE WAS BUSH:
50.73%-48.4%, 
OR 62.03-59.03 MILLION..

SO THE BOGUS VOTE WAS EXACTLY EQUAL TO THE FINAL BOGUS EXIT
POLL!

HERE ARE THE CALCULATIONS:

VOTED IN 2000
PRELIMINARY 13047.........................FINAL 13660
	Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader		Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader
No	17%	41%	57%	1%		17%	45%	54%	1%
Gore	40%	8%	91%	1%		37%	10%	90%	0%
Bush	39%	90%	9%	0%		43%	91%	9%	0%
Other	4%	13%	65%	16%		3%	21%	71%	3%
	100%	45.8%	52.2%	1.2%		100%	51.1%	48.58%	0.3%



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