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100% ABSOLUTE PROOF: FINAL NEP OVERSTATED BUSH VOTE BY AT LEAST 2 MIL. [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-21-05 01:31 PM
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100% ABSOLUTE PROOF: FINAL NEP OVERSTATED BUSH VOTE BY AT LEAST 2 MIL.
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Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 02:01 PM by TruthIsAll
Here is incontrovertible proof that the FINAL National Exit Poll (13660) overstated The Bush vote by a MINIMUM OF 2 MILLION VOTES.

After proving it was at least 2 million, a little common sense will reveal that it was probably overstated by more than 3 million.

In the FINAL NATIONAL EXIT POLL of 13660 RESPONDENTS, POSTED ON CNN at 2:05pm on 11/3, 43% of voters claimed to have voted for Bush in 2000 while only 37% said they voted for Gore.

The PRELIMINARY EXIT POLL (13047 RESPONDENTS, 12:22am on 11/3) had this demographic at 41% Bush/38% Gore. So the numbers were adjusted from 41% in the Preliminary poll to 43% in the FINAL, OFFICIAL EXIT POLL.

BUT IT IS IMPOSSIBLE FOR 43% OF 122.26 million 2004 VOTERS TO HAVE VOTED FOR BUSH IN 2000 BECAUSE 43% of 122.26 = 52.57 MILLION VOTERS.
AND THE BUSH 2000 VOTE WAS JUST 50.5 MILLION.

THAT'S AN OFFICIAL ERROR, NOT A THEORETICAL ONE.
IT'S A 4% ERROR IN FAVOR OF BUSH. BUT THE EXIT POLL MARGIN OF ERROR, ACCORDING TO MITOFSKY EDISON, WAS +/-1.0%

THE ODDS ARE NEAR ZERO THAT THE 1.0% MOE WOULD BE EXCEED BY 3.0%.
THEY ARE EXTREMELY LOW EVEN IF THE MOE WERE 2.0% (IT WOULD BE OFF BY ONE MILLION VOTES).

WHERE DID THESE 2 MILLION VOTERS COME FROM?

We KNOW that at least SOME fraction of Bush 2000 voters DIED.
Some were INCAPACITATED and did not vote.
Some decided to STAY HOME and did not vote.
And some, believe it or not, actually VOTED FOR KERRY.

SO COMMON SENSE TELLS US THAT FEWER BUSH 2000 VOTERS HAD TO HAVE VOTED FOR HIM IN 2004, NOT MORE.

ASSUMING THAT 1-2 MILLION FEWER 2000 BUSH VOTERS ACTUALLY VOTED FOR HIM THIS TIME, THEN HIS 2004 VOTE WAS OVERSTATED BY 3-4 MILLION VOTES. THAT'S A 6-8% DIFFERENCE.

One final thought. The 2000 vote is an historical fact. In the ONLY demographic for which the final exit poll is matched to an actual vote count (in 2000), it is found to be absolutely bogus.

SO HOW IS ANYONE TO BELIEVE ANY OF THE OTHER RESULTS IN THE FINAL EXIT POLL?



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