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Reply #21: THE ABOVE TABLE IS CORRECT ; DISREGARD THE "SIMPLE EXPLANATION" POST [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-21-05 09:42 AM
Response to Reply #20
21. THE ABOVE TABLE IS CORRECT ; DISREGARD THE "SIMPLE EXPLANATION" POST
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 10:01 AM by TruthIsAll
There is no simple 1% adjustment factor applied to 13047 respondent.
The adjustments are the percentage change in the INDIVIDUAL DEMOGRAPHIC ALLOCATION WEIGHTS.

In other words, Bush's share of the female vote went from 45% to 48%.
On a weighted basis, that is equal to an additional 1.98% of the total female vote.

In terms of the 54% or 331 females in the 613 additional respondents,
Bush Final =.54*.48*13660 =3540
Bush preliminary =.54*.45*13047 =3170

So Bush gained 370 of the final 331 females.
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