|
I know I usually disagree with you TIA, but this one is an honest question. I wouldn't blame you for not believing me on that, but it's the truth.
Mitofsky says that early in the afternoon on November 2nd, preliminary weightings for the national exit poll overstated the proportion of women in the electorate. The problem was caused by a programming error involving the gender composition that was being used for the absentee/early voter portion of the national exit poll. The target proportion for the national absentee age-race-sex responses was not being computed correctly. The weighting problem that led to the original waves of the national exit poll showing 58% of the national voters were female.
My question is, is the early exit poll you are using for your calculations based on the early poll mentioned above, or is it from one of the ones that happened after they corrected the above-mentioned problem? I actually suspect it's the later, but I wanted to check.
|