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GRAPHS: 1988-2004 Prelim. Nat. Exit Poll to Vote- Trend reversal in 2004 [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-10-05 10:38 PM
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GRAPHS: 1988-2004 Prelim. Nat. Exit Poll to Vote- Trend reversal in 2004
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Edited on Thu Mar-10-05 11:11 PM by TruthIsAll
Preliminary exit polls vs. Recorded Votes: 1988-2004

Notice the 2004 trend reversal.
Any relation to the new touchscreens with no verified paper ballot?

Deviation Trends: Preliminary Exit Poll to Final Vote
Image

Surprise: Preliminary Exit Poll was right on for Gore in 2000
Democratic Deviations from Preliminary Exit Poll to Final Vote
Image

No Surprise: Repubs always gain in the vote; Dems always lose.
Republican Deviations from Preliminary Exit Poll to Final Vote
Image


Prelim Exit Poll Final Vote Deviation
Year Dem Rep Dem Rep Dem Rep
1988 50.3 49.7 46 54 -4.3 4.3
1992 46 33.2 43 38 -3 4.8
1996 52.2 37.5 49 41 -3.2 3.5
2000 48.5 46.2 48.4 47.9 -0.1 1.7
2004 50.74 47.93 48.28 50.73 -2.46 2.8

Avg 49.55 42.91 46.94 46.33 -2.61 3.42

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