(some need conversion, some don't - here's the whole list, to avoid confusion...)
1. Dr. Ron Baiman: Economist/Statistician - senior research specialist, Institute of Government and Public Affairs at the Univ. of Illinois at Chicago; teaches at the Univ. of Chicago.
http://www.freepress.org/departments/display/19/2004/997(url conversion - the last part should read "display/19/2004/997"--just add a 7)
"I conclude that, based on the best exit sample data currently available, neither the national popular vote, or many of the certified state election results, are credible and should not be regarded as a true reflection of the intent of national electorate, or of many state voters, until a complete and thorough investigation…." –Dr. Baiman
2. Dr. Steven Freeman: "The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy," and "Hypotheses for Explaining the Exit Poll-Official Count Discrepancy in the 2004 US Presidential Election." Dr. Steven Freeman: Professor, Center for Organizational Dynamics, Univ. of Penn.; Karel Steuer Chair for entrepreneurship, Univ. de San Andreas, Buenos Aires; Professor of Management, Central Amer. Inst. of Business Administration (INCAE). Reports:
http://www.appliedresearch.us/sf/epdiscrep.htm. Article:
http://www.inthesetimes.com/site/main/article/1970" As much as we can say in social science that something is impossible, it is impossible that the discrepancies between predicted and actual vote counts (for Kerry) in the three critical battle ground states (OH, FLA, & PA) of the 2004 election could have been due to chance or random error." –Dr. Freeman
3. US CountVotes Report "Response to Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004 Report"
The US CountVotes report dismisses random chance as an explanation for the strange skew to Bush in the exit polls vs. the official tally (in 7 of 50 states): "The binomial probability that 7 of 50 should be so skewed is less than one in 10,000,000. A full comparison of the exit polls with the null distribution (blue curve) via a Shapiro-Wilk test yields a probability that is astronomically small."
"The report (by exit pollsters Edicon/Mitofsky) shows differences in WPE ("within precinct error") for different types of voting equipment (p. 40). Precincts with paper ballots showed a median WPE of –0.9, consistent with chance, while all other technologies (touchscreen, optiscan, punchcard & mechanical) were associated with unexplained high WPE…."
"The Edison/Mitofsky report confirms there were large differences between their exit polls and the official results of the 2004 presidential election – much more so than in previous elections. The national exit poll indicated a 3 point victory for Kerry; whereas the official election results indicated that he lost by 2.5%, a difference of 5.5%.
"The Edison/Mitofsky report… assert(s) without supporting evidence that (p. 4), 'Kerry voters were more likely to participate in the exit polls than Bush voters.' In fact, data included within the report suggest that the opposite might be true.…their report ignores the alternative hypothesis that the official election results could have been corrupted.
"The Edison/Mitofsky report states (p.12), 'We need to do more investigation into the causes of the statistical skew in the exit poll data for the general election.' USCountVotes agrees, and we suggest that that investigation extend to the official vote count tallies."
Josh Mitteldorf, Ph.D. - Temple University Statistics Department
Kathy Dopp, MS in mathematics - USCountVotes, President
Steven F. Freeman, PhD - Center for Organizational Dynamics, University of Pennsylvania
Brian Joiner, PhD - Prof. of Statistics and Director of Statistical Consulting (ret), University of Wisconsin
Frank Stenger, PhD in mathematics - School of Computing, University of Utah
Richard G. Sheehan, PhD - Department of Finance, University of Notre Dame
Elizabeth Liddle, MA - (UK) PhD candidate at the University of Nottingham
Paul F. Velleman, Ph.D. - Department of Statistical Sciences, Cornell University
Victoria Lovegren, Ph.D. - Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University
Campbell B. Read, Ph.D., Professor Emeritus, Department of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University
Also Peer Reviewed by USCountVotes’ core group of statisticians and independent reviewers.
Press Contact: Bruce O'Dell, USCountVotes, Vice President
[email protected] Report:
http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/USCountVotes_Re_Mitofsky-Edison.pdf(url conversion for the above: the last part, after "Re...," is "_Mitofsky-Edison.pdf" --just remove ellipses--"..."--and any spaces, and add it on.)
(or, another type of conversion-just use this tinyurl:
http://tinyurl.com/6e2yu )
Interview of Dr. Joiner, "'Voting Glitches Haunt Statistician," 3/4/05, Capital Times:
http://www.madison.com/tct/news/index.php?ntid=30826&ntpid=1(url conversion for the above: the last part should read "index.php?ntid=30826&ntpid=1".)
4. Dr. Michael Haut, & U.C. Berkeley Quantitative Methods Research Team:
"…irregularities associated with electronic voting machines may have awarded 130,000 - 260,000 or more excess votes to President George W. Bush in Florida in the 2004 presidential election. The study shows an unexplained discrepancy between votes for President Bush in counties where electronic voting machines were used versus counties using traditional voting methods. Discrepancies this large or larger rarely arise by chance – the probability is less than 0.1 percent." –Dr. Haut and U.C. Berkeley Research Team
"UC Berkeley Study Questions Florida E-Vote Count: Research Team Calls for Immediate Investigation"
Thursday November 18, 1:23 am ET - BERKELEY, Calif., Nov. 18 /PRNewswire/ --
Press release:
http://www.commondreams.org/news2004/1118-14.htm. Study:
http://ucdata.berkeley.eduDr. Haut is a nationally-known expert on statistical methods and member of the National Academy of Sciences and the UC Berkeley Survey Research Center.
5. Johns Hopkins report on insecurity of electronic voting: "Analysis of Electronic Voting System"
http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0307/S00196.htm#5(url conversion for the above: just add "5" after "htm#," thus, "htm#5.")
(or, tinyurl:
http://tinyurl.com/6fwug )
by Tadayoshi Kohno, Adam Stubblefield, and Aviel D. Rubin of the Information Security Institute, Johns Hopkins University, and Dan S. Wallach, Department of Computer Science, Rice University.
6. "Myth Breakers: Facts About Electronic Elections" (2nd edition): www.votersunite.org
7. Easy demo of how insecure voting machines are, by Republican hacker Chuck Herrin:
http://www.chuckherrin.com/hackthevote.htm8. Ohio vote suppression:
http://www.bpac.info9. Documentation of widespread machine fraud and dirty tricks in over 20 states:
http://www.flcv.com/ussumall.html10. 57,000 machine malfunction/vote suppression complaints to Congress:
http://www.votersunite.org/article.asp?id=396111. TV networks alteration of the Exit Polls to fit the "official tally" (& Zogby prediction of Kerry win):
http://www.exitpollz.org/12. Compendium of election fraud/election reform information:
http://www.solarbus.org/election/archives.shtml13. Democratic Underground (TruthIsAll): "To believe Bush won, you have to believe…"
(Part 1)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1316010 (Part 2)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1358806 (Part 3)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x197878(url conversion for all three urls above:
Part 1
http://tinyurl.com/4pucs Part 2
http://tinyurl.com/4gqg5 Part 3
http://tinyurl.com/6okrm )
or, after "duboard.ph...," in each one, add the following:
Part 1: add "p?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1316010"
Part 2: add "p?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1358806"
Part 3: add "p?az=view_all&address=203x197878"
14. Democratic Underground (ignatzmouse):
(North Carolina: absentee ballot vs. electronic, inexplicable 9% edge to Bush in electronic:)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x45003(url conversion:
http://tinyurl.com/52dzkor, after "duboard.ph...," add "p?az=view_all&address=203x45003".)
15. "Connie McCormack," by Andrew Gumbel, L.A. City Beat, 5.24.04
http://lacitybeat.com/article.php?id=942&IssueNum=5116. "Election Official Rips into Shelley," 2/4/05, by Dan Smith, Sacramento Bee (registration required)
www.sacbee.com/content/politics/story/12235225p-13099223c.html
(url conversion: add, "3c.html"--end of string should read "story/12235225p-13099223c.html"
17. "Many lobbyists for electronic voting companies are ex-election officials," by Tim Reiterman and Peter Nicholas, Los Angeles Times, Nov. 10, 2003.
http://www.unknownnews.net/031117comvot.html18. Open source electronic voting system: http//www.openvotingconsortium.org
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