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Reply #32: Exit poll are accurate. It's the votes that aren't. [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-10-05 08:29 AM
Response to Reply #23
32. Exit poll are accurate. It's the votes that aren't.
You are in such denial, you can't deal with that.
How do we know exit polls are accurate?

Simple.Let's just assume the loss of democratic votes was due to natural spoilage. This is DOCUMETED as a fact in EVERY election - that millions of votes are lost due to punch card machine anomalies..

Let's disregard fraud for now.

So we have the Exit poll identity:
Intended vote = recorded vote + lost vote (spoilage).
I= R + S

The Exit Poll is reflection of the INTENDED VOTE, NOT the RECORDED VOTE tally.

Therefore, the Exit poll can NEVER equal the recorded vote and must be therefore be greater than the recorded vote.

And that is why the Exit Poll is closer to the truth and favors the Democrats.

Can your mathematically-challenged mind accept that?
If it can (I am making a major assumption) then let's expand the analysis to include fraud.

Intended vote = Votes Recorded + Lost (spoilage) + Stolen (fraud).
I= R + S + F

That brings the exit poll all the way there.

The exit poll deviation = Dev = I - R, where R = S + F
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