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Reply #6: I must be missing something. [View All]

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kiwi_expat Donating Member (526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-07-05 06:46 AM
Response to Original message
6. I must be missing something.
"(1) The Reluctant Bush Responder theory....
If (1) is true, then the 43-37% Bush margin which matches the recorded vote must be wrong.
And the Preliminary National Exit poll of 13,047 was right after all.
Which means that Kerry won by 51-48%."

Why would the preliminary exit poll be right if the Reluctant Bush Responder Theory (RBRT) was true? I thought that the RBRT was offered as an explanation for the preliminary poll being wrong and the (massaged) final exit poll being right.

Please do not attack me. I'm just asking. Personally I don't believe the RBRT. And I am an agnostic on the accuracy of the national preliminary exit poll.

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