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Reply #12: My estimates have Kerry winning the EC from 317 to 346 [View All]

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FogerRox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-24-05 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. My estimates have Kerry winning the EC from 317 to 346
Edited on Thu Feb-24-05 12:39 PM by FogerRox

I posted this on nov. 26th
Here is the link:

From this summary:

This covers the error 'tween exit polls and the reported results:
Wisconsin: Bush plus 4%
Pennsylvania: Bush plus 5%
Ohio: Bush plus 4%
Florida: Bush plus 7% Minnesota: Bush plus 7%
New Hampshire: Bush plus 15%
North Carolina: Bush plus 9%.

This is the final exit poll and the Published result:
Final poll 52-47 ---Kerry won
...Published 50-49

Final poll 51-49 ---Kerry won
...Published 49-51

Final poll 51-49 ---Kerry won
...Published 47-52

Final poll 54-44 ---Kerry won
...Published 51-48

Final poll 48-52 ---Kerry won
...Published 43-56

Hers the link:

Now I will go to this site and enter the real results and see how big Kerrys win really was.

Bush 221 EV
Kerry 317 EV

270 required to win.

More on the exit poll error--

Again more--
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