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Reply #12: My estimates have Kerry winning the EC from 317 to 346 [View All]

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FogerRox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-24-05 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. My estimates have Kerry winning the EC from 317 to 346
Edited on Thu Feb-24-05 12:39 PM by FogerRox

I posted this on nov. 26th
Here is the link:
http://bushflashforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3893


From this summary:
http://rense.com/general59/blatantexitpollfinal.htm

This covers the error 'tween exit polls and the reported results:
Wisconsin: Bush plus 4%
Pennsylvania: Bush plus 5%
Ohio: Bush plus 4%
Florida: Bush plus 7% Minnesota: Bush plus 7%
New Hampshire: Bush plus 15%
North Carolina: Bush plus 9%.


This is the final exit poll and the Published result:
WISCONSIN
Final poll 52-47 ---Kerry won
...Published 50-49

OHIO
Final poll 51-49 ---Kerry won
...Published 49-51

FLORIDA
Final poll 51-49 ---Kerry won
...Published 47-52

MINNESOTA
Final poll 54-44 ---Kerry won
...Published 51-48

NORTH CAROLINA
Final poll 48-52 ---Kerry won
...Published 43-56



Hers the link:
http://bushflashforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3893



Now I will go to this site and enter the real results and see how big Kerrys win really was.


http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc-finalEV.html

Bush 221 EV
Kerry 317 EV

270 required to win.

More on the exit poll error--

http://www.solarbus.org/stealyourelection/articles/exit...

Again more--

http://www.newstarget.com/002076.html
http://www.appliedresearch.us/sf/Documents/ExitPoll.pdf
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