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Reply #31: So you would like to start a rational thread regarding exit polling? [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-24-05 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #30
31. So you would like to start a rational thread regarding exit polling?
Edited on Thu Feb-24-05 05:25 PM by TruthIsAll
That is a very presumptuous statement on your part.
And you call my threads diversions?

I suggest you read the papers of Freeman, Baiman and Uscountvotes.org. You will find that their analyses incorporates equivalent mathematics as I've used to compute exit poll probabilities.

HAVE YOU READ THEIR 5-PAGE PAPER WHICH DEBUNKS THE MITOFSKY RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER THEORY?

DO YOU APPRECIATE THAT THE PAPER WAS PEER-REVIEWED BY MATHEMATICS/STATISTICS DEPT. HEADS FROM RENOWNED UNIVERSITIES WHO HAVE PLACED THEIR REPUTATIONS ON THE LINE FOR DEMOCRACY?

No one is preventing you from posting analysis right now. So take the next step. Show us what you've got.

I for one am not convinced that your level of mathematics is up to snuff. The esteemed Mystery Pollster, worshiped by the naysayers, a DEMOCRAT no less, asked for help regarding the probabilty calculations in one of my posts. He has never been able to refute anything.

So why don't you tear apart my posts, whether it involves pre-election state, pre-election national, state exit or national exit poll?

And could you give us your thoughts on the following:

1) What do you believe is the appropriate MOE for each of the poll categories?

2)The Reluctant Bush responder theory.

3) Why would 99%+ of voting machine anomalies all favored Bush?

4) Ballot spoilage. What is your understanding of the average number of ballots which are never counted each election cycle?

5) Florida 2000. What can you tell us about the 70,000 undervotes and the 110,000 overvotes? Any idea how many voters were disenfranchised? The Palm Beach butterfly ballot? What about those 16,022 lost Gore votes in Volusia? Do you know of the Diebold connection?







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