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Reply #14: What supposition? What poertic license, [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-22-05 06:55 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. What supposition? What poertic license,
Edited on Tue Feb-22-05 06:56 PM by TruthIsAll
You are reverting to your former self.
You are mis-characterizing the facts.

The only thing you are focusing on are the 3 National exit polls.
Ok, you are right about that.

You keep insisting that the apples and oranges refutes my work.
You are wrong about that.

But you are avoiding the issues that really matter.
Are you building straw men?

Fact 1:
Democrats have always lost from the exit polls to the vote.

Fact 2:
Many Democratic voters exit polled do not realize that their votes have been spoiled.

Fact 3:
Exit polls are matched to the actual votes.

Therefore:
Fact 4:
The actual votes cannot reflect actual voter intent.

Therefore:
Fact 5:
The final, "weighted" exit polls do not reflect voter intent.

So...
Fact 6:
The preliminary exit polls may very well reflect voter intent.

Fact 7:
The 2004 Preliminary National Exit Poll showed that Kerry won.


"IMHO by using supposition and poetic licensing the results are rendered near useless.
This is why I believe that your work can get no traction outside of a few here at the DU.
Remember that I am not critical of your math but just the original figures that you have been using".

Let me return the favor and spell it out as clear as I can.

I have expressed 10 points in the prior post.







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