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Reply #167: The corresponding Hamilton precincts' WPEs are -28%, -12%, and -9% [View All]

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kiwi_expat Donating Member (526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-30-05 12:42 AM
Response to Reply #163
167. The corresponding Hamilton precincts' WPEs are -28%, -12%, and -9%
The raw-to-actual deviations shown in post #163 were calculated using the multiple precinct polling place data - because it is likely that all of the precincts at the polling place were sampled.

However, Mitofsky's Within-precinct Error (WPE) is calculated using the specific precinct data.

Four of the 5 National exit poll precincts in Hamilton and Cuyahoga counties have higher WPEs (-28%, -12%, -12%, -9%) than those counties' 8 State-only exit poll precincts (-8% to 8% WPE).

Perhaps it is more difficult to administer the 4 (intermixed) National questionnaires than the single State questionnaire.
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