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Reply #144: NEP #52 is even more of an anomaly than we thought [View All]

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kiwi_expat Donating Member (526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-08-05 02:42 AM
Response to Reply #110
144. NEP #52 is even more of an anomaly than we thought
Edited on Fri Apr-08-05 03:14 AM by kiwi_expat
NEP Precinct 52, which we are pretty sure is Cincy 4-M, has twice as many Kerry respondents as Bush respondents. Even the final weighted version is still Kerry 22 to Bush 14.

But the actual vote was Kerry 211 Bush 312. See Cincy 4-M in
http://www.hamilton-co.org/boe/inputdata/Electionsresul...

If Mitofsky was trying to match the actual Kerry 211 Bush 312 ratio, he didn't do too well


(I initially panicked and thought that we might have mis-identified #52. But in checking the actual totals, I see that the only NEP precinct with a Kerry lead is Cincy 22-E, which must be #51.)

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