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Reply #89: 2nd Congressional District [View All]

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minvis Donating Member (334 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-10-05 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #88
89. 2nd Congressional District
I have contacted, via e-mail, the Butler and Clermont County BOEs to try and get a list from them. Below are my best guesses of the precincts in the 2nd Congressional district along with a short explanation.

Precincts 1, 2 and 98 - rural, probably in Brown, Adams, Scioto or Pike counties since the other counties in the 2nd Congressional District are part of Cincinnati or its suburbs. What is interesting about these precincts is that they are 50/50 between Kerry/Bush and 50/50 along Party ID lines which I don't think would be too common in rural areas. My guess is it would be in one of the larger towns in those counties.

Precinct 9 - suburban. This is most likely Sharonville 4C in Hamilton County. It is the only one of the 3 suburban precincts that has under 90% white population. Precinct 9 has 1 Hispanic, 1 Asian and 1 other respondent in the exit poll which mirrors this town's racial makeup.

Precinct 49 - suburban. This is most likely Anderson JJ in Hamilton County. It was either this or Fairfax B, but the thing that swayed it was the income breakdown. Anderson Township has a median income of roughly $80,000 and Fairfax Village has a median income around $45,000. Precinct 49 respondents definitely trended to the upper income range.

Precinct 52 and 55 - city over 50,000. This would, of course, include Cincinnati 4-M as one of the precincts. The other is probably a precinct in the city of Hamilton. Hamilton is the only city in the 2nd District, besides Cincinnati, that has a population over 50,000. I have an e-mail out to the BOE in Butler county to confirm this.

Precinct 63- suburban. This leaves Fairfax B as this precinct. Again, this is due to the income breakdown. The exit poll responders for this precinct averaged out to roughly $50,000 which is close to the $45,000 median income for this village.
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