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Reply #31: Conclusion? [View All]

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minvis Donating Member (334 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-21-05 01:03 AM
Response to Reply #30
31. Conclusion?
First, the usefulness of the data is getting a more accurate count of what the exit poll numbers were in Ohio. Instead of getting some numbers released via the media, these are numbers pulled directly from the raw data. As TIA's post noted, the original exit poll numbers indicated Kerry with 51+% in Ohio when, in fact, it was 53+% making it again even more impossible that the exit poll numbers and "actual" votes could differ by that much.

Secondly, I thought it would be useful to look at areas like party ID to see if the exit polls under represented Republicans, as Mitofsky seemed to intimate. I wanted to put out the information of what the breakdown of party ID was in the Ohio exit poll and ask people if they knew if too many Democrats were polled.

I also am hopeful that I can track down what some of the actual precincts that were used in the exit poll and compare the "actual" count to the exit poll data from those precincts. I was hoping people here might be able to help.
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