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THE BARE TRUTH WHICH SHOULD HAVE FLIPPED OUT THE DEMOCRATS BY NOW. [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-29-05 11:12 AM
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THE BARE TRUTH WHICH SHOULD HAVE FLIPPED OUT THE DEMOCRATS BY NOW.
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Edited on Sat Jan-29-05 11:50 AM by TruthIsAll
In the electoral-vote.com vote map, the four states noted as Barely Bush are: OH, NM, IA, NV

In the statistical comparison of deviations between the exit polls and the vote, the four states which flipped from Kerry in the exit poll to Bush in the vote are: OH, NM, IA, FL

It's almost a perfect one-to-one match, except for FL and NV.
Kerrys 2-party NV exit poll was 49.4%, so it almost made the flip list.
Kerrys 2-party FL exit poll was 50.5%, so it barely made the flip list.

These four states which flipped have 59 electoral votes.
Added to Kerry's 252, he had 311 EV's.
Exactly what Zogby's final polls said.

But, of course, Zogby was wrong.
What does he know about polls?
Has he ever been right?

And Mitofsky was wrong, also.
What does he know about exit polls?
Has he ever been right?

As any naysayer will tell you, exit polls are not designed to predict the vote.
They are only used to show how various demographic groups voted, not how people voted.
Like men and women.

And though most people said they voted for Kerry, actually most voted for Bush.
But they were reluctant to say so.

It's almost a perfect one-to-one match, except for FL and NV.
Kerrys 2-party NV exit poll was 49.4%, so it almost made the flip list.
Kerrys 2-party FL exit poll was 50.5%, so it barely made the flip list.

BUSH NEEDED BOTH FLORIDA AND OHIO TO WIN.
KERRY NEEDED ONLY ONE.

Have there been any voting anomalies and/or incidents in these states which favored Kerry?

Have there been any voting anomalies and/or incidents in these states which favored Bush?



Go here for a comprehensive Red Shift vs. Margin of Error analysis:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

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