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Mitofsky on Nightline:"26 of 30 deviations to Bush" Wrong. It was 30 of 30 [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-20-05 09:08 AM
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Mitofsky on Nightline:"26 of 30 deviations to Bush" Wrong. It was 30 of 30
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Edited on Thu Jan-20-05 09:24 AM by TruthIsAll
Mitofsky said 26 states deviated to Bush, 4 to Kerry. Wrong. 
 
30 states deviated to Bush beyond 2.0%, 23 beyond the MOE.
Not ONE state deviated to Kerry beyond 2.0% or the MOE.

Probability: Less than .00000 00000 00000 00000 00000 00000

The odds: 
  ************* IMPOSSIBLE (div by zero) *************



Overall, 43 states deviated to Bush (incl. DC)
The odds: 
     *********** 1 in 2.9 million *****************


Mitofsky doesn't even know his own numbers.

He should look here:

ToBush:  Sample	Kerry  %Dev	VoteDev
NY	1,452	63.0%	-4.61%	-340,551
FL	2,846	50.5%	-3.38%	-256,646
PA	1,930	54.3%	-3.39%	-195,347
OH	1,963	52.1%	-3.39%	-190,916
NC	2,167	48.0%	-4.41%	-154,467

IL	1,392	57.0%	-2.18%	-114,922
MA	889	66.0%	-3.91%	-113,738
MN	2,178	54.5%	-3.30%	-93,256
WI	2,223	52.5%	-2.74%	-81,894
SC	1,735	46.0%	-5.04%	-81,480

AL	730	41.0%	-4.14%	-77,899
VA	1,431	48.0%	-2.40%	-76,544
NJ	1,520	55.0%	-2.05%	-74,027
CT	872	58.5%	-4.19%	-66,085
MI	2,452	52.5%	-1.25%	-60,673

WA	2,123	54.9%	-2.09%	-59,705
AZ	1,859	47.0%	-2.60%	-52,391
GA	1,536	43.0%	-1.59%	-52,331
CO	2,515	49.1%	-2.02%	-42,881
IN	926	41.0%	-1.74%	-42,843

LA	1,669	44.5%	-2.19%	-42,449
UT	798	30.5%	-4.47%	-41,384
MO	2,158	47.5%	-1.40%	-38,227
MS	798	43.3%	-3.04%	-34,593
NH	1,849	55.4%	-5.05%	-34,119

NE	785	36.8%	-4.04%	-31,386
MD	1,000	57.0%	-1.03%	-24,499
KY	1,034	41.0%	-1.31%	-23,570
AR	1,402	46.6%	-2.05%	-21,638
IA	2,502	50.6%	-1.36%	-20,509

ID	559	33.5%	-3.24%	-19,358
RI	809	64.0%	-4.43%	-19,303
DE	770	58.5%	-5.14%	-19,276
VT	685	65.0%	-5.78%	-17,981
NM	1,951	51.30%	-2.25%	-17,042

WV	1,722	45.3%	-2.05%	-15,528
AK	910	40.5%	-4.89%	-15,257
NV	2,116	49.4%	-1.26%	-10,397
ME	1,968	54.7%	-1.17%	-8,682
OK	1,539	35.0%	-0.57%	-8,349

MT	640	39.8%	-1.20%	-5,384
WY	684	30.9%	-1.77%	-4,295
DC	795	91.0%	-1.57%	-3,555

ToKerry:
SD	1,495	37.8%	0.68%	2,645
HI	499	53.3%	0.71%	3,044

ND	649	34.0%	1.50%	4,692
OR	1,064	51.2%	0.40%	7,316
KS	654	35.0%	1.62%	19,283
TN	1,774	41.5%	1.03%	24,992
CA	1,919	54.0%	0.43%	53,746

TX	1,671	37.0%	1.23%	90,930



 
  
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