Reply #95: You show a complete disregard for or ignorance of the facts.

[TruthIsAll]

The National Exit Poll sample was 13,047 with an 1% MOE.

State exit polls ranged from 600 (4%) to 2846 (1.86%), an average 2.85% Most larger EV states had around 2000 respondents - that's an MOE of 2.2%.

You fail to take into account the fact that we have 50 states in which 20 exceeded the MOE in favor of Bush - and not one for Kerry.

I have already stated the probability: ZERO!

So your whole post is a fallacious waste of time.