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Reply #73: The Gore/Bush 2000 exit poll result was right on target. [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-09-05 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #65
73. The Gore/Bush 2000 exit poll result was right on target.
Edited on Sun Jan-09-05 12:48 AM by TruthIsAll
The Gore margin, based on the exit polls, was 0.9%, which was off by about 0.4%, since Gore won the popular vote by 540,000 out of a little more than 100 million, a 0.5% margin

We don't know what the actual percentages were before rounding to the nearest one percent.
Why do they do this?
They should round to the nearest 0.1%.

They could have been exactly right, or off by as much as 0.9%, yet still falling within the 1.0% MOE.

Gender Split Gore Bush
Male.... 48% 43% 52%
Female 52% 54% 42%

Total 100% 48.7% 46.8%

Comparing to Kerry/Bush

Kerry got 54% of the female vote, as did Gore
Bush got 52% of the male vote both times.
Kerry got 47% of the male vote, where Gore got 43%.
Bush got 45% of the female vote vs. Kerry, but only 42% vs. Gore.

This time, the Female/Male split was 54/46.
Last time, it was 52/48.

Kerry did better than Gore because
1) more women voted this time, percentage-wise
2) Kerry improved his share of the male vote by 4%
3) Bush improved his share of the female vote by 3%.
4) Kerry did exactly the same as Gore with the women.
5) Bush did exactly the same with the men.
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