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Reply #274: When the other side puts Mitofsky on the stand to testify... [View All]

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euler Donating Member (515 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-02-05 12:04 AM
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274. When the other side puts Mitofsky on the stand to testify...
...about the 2004 exit poll and the early release raw numbers, Mitofsky will testify that the exit poll raw numbers are unsuited for any type of valid statistical analysis. Indeed, he and those who work for him are already on record saying this very thing several times since the election.

Many of you are now rolling your eyes at my post - "after all", you may reply to my post, "Mitofsky is just a partisan hack with an agenda" or "He is being deliberately untruthful so he can cover up the shortcomings his ability to conduct exit polls" or something similar to that. Amateurs on DU can get away with this vacant way of "defending" their analysis against other DU members, but if won't work in Congress or in a Court of law.

Warren Mitofsky is the preeminent exit poll expert on the planet, and everywhere except right here on DU, he is so recognized. Don't believe me ? Take a look at paragraphs 66-72 of Arnebeck case number 04-2088. Here's one quote. You can read the rest for yourself.

<snip>

Credit for INVENTING the exit poll is generally given to Warren Mitofsky a world recognized expert in exit polling...Mitofsky has directed exit polls since 1967 for almost 3000 electoral contests. he has the distinction of conducting the first presidential exit polls in the United States, Russia, Mexico and the Philippines.

</snip>

From here, Arnebeck goes on and on with praise after praise for Warren Mitofsky.

To sum up, Mitofsky is the INVENTOR exit polling and has been conducting exit polls for 38 years. If he says (and he already has) that exit poll raw numbers are useless for anything including fraud analysis, then that's what will be accepted by the Courts, Congress and MSM. We may be able to find experts willing to challenge Mitofsky, but only Mitofsky can say that he conducted the 2004 presidential exit poll. No one knows the numbers like he does.

Dozens of DU members have been fairly persistent in their criticism of any analysis here on DU that relies on the accuracy of exit polls. However, we are always shouted at when we do. Folks, the real world is not like DU. If this goes before Court or Congress, the other side will trot Mitofsky out and he will crush the exit-poll/actual-vote discrepancy fraud theory. If we don't drop the exit poll idiocy, then we will probably start to get that long sought after MSM coverage - but it will sound like mockery.
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