You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #238: Is my interpretation wrong or is the data wrong? [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
1democracy Donating Member (142 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-31-04 04:23 PM
Response to Reply #76
238. Is my interpretation wrong or is the data wrong?
Data analysis

CNN Poll Data Early 1963 respondents
Percentages converted to actual numbers

Voters Bush Kerry
Female 923 (47%) 452 (49%) 471 (51%)
Males 1040 (53%) 489 (47%) 551 (53%)

Sum 1963 941 1022

Late CNN Poll Data 2020 Respondents
Percentages converted to actual numbers
Voters Bush Kerry
Female 949 (47%) 494 (52%) 446 (47%)
Male 1071(53%) 535.5 (50%) 535.5 (50%)

Sum 2020 (100%) 1029.5 981.5

IMPORTANT Question;
From the early poll to the late poll, 57 additional people were added. Therefore, the most any candidate could gain is 57 votes , if all 57 people voted for him, or a max of 998 for Bush if every person polled late voted for him; yet the numbers show 1029.5, 31.5 more votes than it was possible to him to gain!

Conversely, the number of people who voted for Kerry decreased by 41.5 votes, which is impossible, unless the second set of data is independent (not inclusive of) the first poll.

Am I misunderstanding how polls work???


Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC