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Reply #156: Mystery Pollster's credibility is shot [View All]

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davidgmills Donating Member (651 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-31-04 02:41 AM
Response to Reply #77
156. Mystery Pollster's credibility is shot
I have posted on his board many times and asked many questions about design effect and his answers just get weirder and weirder. I've concluded he's nothing but a freeper plant.

The latest weird excuse he came up with for my argument that the networks wouldn't spend all that money to get 3.5% MOE's or more was that the networks really needed "news" to report for those states that were not swing states. Please! In other words they needed someone like Mykofsky to call those states so it would be "news." Jesus what crap!

There's no proof by anyone that the design effect should be applied to polling. It is just theory. Sure the design effect applies when you talk about marbles in a jar but extrapolating that to precinct polling is a real stretch.

One social scientist said that statisticians were some of the worst people you could have to make this link and said they had no business doing so.

So much for him.
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