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Reply #60: Let's say you're preparing to go on a picnic - [View All]

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SicTransit Donating Member (263 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-30-04 11:09 PM
Response to Reply #43
60. Let's say you're preparing to go on a picnic -
you check the weather forecast, they say "it's going to be sunny all day tomorrow". You merrily go, spread out the blanket, take out the sandwiches, and it starts to rain.

Did it rain or not? The forecasts ("polls") said it would not. But you're still all wet.

Note: short-term weather forecasting is actually a lot more precise than political polling.
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