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Reply #34: Let's keep it simple. Assume 100 million voted in 2000. [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-30-04 10:46 PM
Response to Reply #5
34. Let's keep it simple. Assume 100 million voted in 2000.
Edited on Thu Dec-30-04 10:50 PM by TruthIsAll
1)Gore got 48.5 million, Bush 48 million, the rest to Nader et al.

2 Lets assume 20 million new voters, for a total of 120 million
Kerry gets 59%, Bush 39% (Kerry gets 3 out of 5) or Kerry gets 12 out of the 20 million. Bush gets 8 million.

Assume the rest of the voters did not vary from 2000.

That's a net Kerry gain of 4 million votes

3) Kerry gets 65% (2 million) of the 3 million who voted for Nader et all . Bush gets 13% or 0.5 million.

That's a net Kerry gain of 1.5 million votes

Total net Kerry gain: 4+ 1.5 = 5.5 million votes.

Add that to the .5 million Gore won by.
Then Kerry wins by 6 million votes

Assuming 120 million voted:
Kerry 63 million (52.5%, Bush 57 million (47.5%)
Take off .5% from each for third parties.

Final:
Kerry 52%
Bush 47%
Other 1%

Oh, man!
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