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THROWING OUT THE ROTTEN HALF OF THE XMAS TREE (DEAD WOOD) [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-30-04 07:41 PM
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THROWING OUT THE ROTTEN HALF OF THE XMAS TREE (DEAD WOOD)
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Edited on Thu Dec-30-04 08:30 PM by TruthIsAll
Nov 3, 2004 12:22AM:
Simon/SCOOP exit poll downloads from the NET	
(CNN thought no one was watching)

47 state exit polls
16 beyond the MARGIN OF ERROR - all for Bush

Probability (P) of any given state vote exceeding the 
Exit Poll MOE for Bush: 
             P = 2.50% (1 out of 40) 

Probability of at least 16 states: 
****** IMAGINE WINNING THE POWERBALL TWICE IN A ROW *******

Red Shift probabilities for various number of states
N = Number of states exceeding the MOE for Bush

N	Prob >=N   The Rotten Odds:1 Out of
2	3.29E-01	3
3	1.13E-01	9
4	2.97E-02	34
5	6.26E-03	160
6	1.09E-03	919
7	1.60E-04	6,269
8	2.01E-05	49,817
9	2.20E-06	455,005
10	2.12E-07	4,726,008
11	1.81E-08	55,342,090
12	1.38E-09	725,475,161
13	9.45E-11	10,584,016,637
14	5.85E-12	170,992,468,197
15	3.29E-13	3,040,918,046,840
16	1.75E-14	57,007,590,219,880 < it actually happened
17	0.00E+00	#DIV/0! < dead wood, rotten at the root.


For those unfamiliar with scientific notation:

N	Probability	>= N   The Rotten Odds:1 Out of
2	0.3291108287246540	3
3	0.1128820886684090	9
4	0.0297171886467755	34
5	0.0062604219740072	160
6	0.0010879041948839	919
7	0.0001595035678618	6,269
8	0.0000200734370636	49,817
9	0.0000021977792689	455,005
10	0.0000002115950695	4,726,008
11	0.0000000180694295	55,342,090
12	0.0000000013784069	725,475,161
13	0.0000000000944821	10,584,016,637
14	0.0000000000058482	170,992,468,197
15	0.0000000000003288	3,040,918,046,840
16	0.0000000000000175	57,007,590,219,880
17	0.0000000000000000	#DIV/0!
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