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Reply #65: If you believe 4%, you will believe anything. [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 02:05 AM
Response to Reply #64
65. If you believe 4%, you will believe anything.
Edited on Wed Dec-22-04 02:18 AM by TruthIsAll
You guys really don't know when to give up, do you?

Come on, you know as well as I, 4% is SHIT for an exit poll. Is that why they hired him? Exit poll samples are large, the individuals have already voted, the MOE is low.

That big an MOE? 4%
Why bother doing the poll?

At 8pm, Kerry was leading in the Exit polls nationwide by 51%-48%.
A total of 71,000 were already polled.
That's 63% of the final 113,000 count.

To reverse it to 51-48% Bush, he needed to win the remaining 42,000 by 56-44%.

That's a 15% turnaround from the first 71,000.
Even he's not that lucky.

The polls were RIGHT. The vote count was WRONG. Why won't you consider that? I never use Occam's razor. It's usually an excuse from doing your homework. But this time its right. The simplet explanation is that Bush stole it.

Get over it.
He has stolen it three times: '00,'02,'04.
He gets away with it each time.
Don't worry. He will again.

Why waste your time trying to convince me that I'm wrong?
I'm a nobody. Let me have my fun crunching numbers.
Why should that bother you?

Take your beef to Conyers.
Tell him to get the data from Mitofsky.
So we can put this all to rest.
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